Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge 2023 Topps #1
•#1
Grade:
Showing all grades mixed together — this blends different variants and should not be read as one specific grade's market value.
Last Sale
$14.99
Estimated Value
$72.48
30-Day Outlook
$36.24 – $108.72
Expected Move
+383.5%
Neutral
Medium Confidence
Market activity has been steady with no strong signal in either direction.
Why this signal
Estimated Value. Trading 22.1% above CardEdge's estimated value.
Price Trend. Recent prices have been moving higher.
Prediction Support. CardEdge's prediction methods currently support the same direction.
Sales Activity. This card is trading regularly.
Price Stability. Recent sale prices have varied significantly.
Price History
Aggregated by day/week/month depending on span, plus outlook if available (dashed)
20 sales shown for all recorded history.
Recent Sales
Most recent confirmed sold comps
| Date | Price | Grade | Original Sale |
|---|---|---|---|
2026-11-01 1d ago | $14.99 | PSA 9 | View on eBay |
2026-10-31 2d ago | $160.5 | PSA 10 | View on eBay |
2026-10-30 3d ago | $99.99 | PSA 9 | View on eBay |
2026-10-29 4d ago | $55 $47 Offer accepted | PSA 10 | View on eBay |
2026-10-29 4d ago | $119 $101 Offer accepted | SGC 10 | View on eBay |
2026-10-28 5d ago | $77 | PSA 10 | View on eBay |
2026-10-27 6d ago | $27.5 | PSA 10 | View on eBay |
2026-10-24 9d ago | $44.99 $35 Offer accepted | SGC 10 | View on eBay |
Price Distribution
Card Details
Year2023
BrandTopps
Set—
Card Number1
Parallel—
7D Change
+5.4%
30D Change
+155.1%
90D Change
+29.9%
Sale Range
$14.99–$2,000
CardEdge Market Score
76Score
CardEdge Market Score
Strong Buy Signal
Weighted composite of price momentum, sales activity, liquidity, price stability, and data confidence from real sold-comp data — not a black-box prediction.
Factor Breakdown
Price Trend100
Sales Activity50
Market Activity93
Price Stability50
Data Quality65
Total Score76 / 100
Price Stability (volatility)50%
Sales Activity6/7d · 20 total
Last sale vs. estimated value-79.3%
Data Qualitymedium (65/100)
History Coverage66d, 20 sales
Prediction methods
Market modelBullish
Pattern model (ML)Bullish
Pattern model track record84% direction accuracy (30D, historical testing)
Track record reflects accuracy on past held-out data — not the odds of any single prediction being correct.
20 sales analyzed across all grades (recency-weighted fair value) — filter by grade for a more precise outlook.
Price volatility: 50% of median.
Sales velocity +66.7% vs. the prior 30 days.
155.1% increase over the last 30 days vs. prior sales.
4 unusually priced sales excluded from this outlook.